Factual Reporting:HIGH (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); Ad-Free Login A post-presidential InsiderAdvantage debate survey of 400 registered likely voters in Pennsylvania shows President Donald Trump now leading in this key battleground state. In the June PA poll, Biden led Trump by 11 points, 53.5-to-41.8, while the president was ahead of the former VP by about 5 points in the May PA poll, 50.2-to-45.5. A, Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, , a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. Seal pup rescued trying to cross highway in Ocean County, Bald eagle dies after ingesting poison, prompting calls for change from advocates, Crazy photos at Yosemite National Park show snow up to rooftops, blocking doorway, 2 suspects sought for weekend armed robbery of 7-Eleven in Wilmington, Hatboro police investigating viral video of customer's racist rant against local business owner, Judge raises bail on 2 Philadelphia teens charged in traffic cone beating death of elderly man, DA: Fentanyl, heroin found in 'significant number' of THC products seized from Pennsylvania smoke shops, Pennsylvania Chick-fil-A bans kids under 16 from dining in restaurant without parent. In that poll, Trump led Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. Whats more, the L.A. Times/USC tracking poll, whose aberrant voter model has put Trump ahead for most of the campaign and all of the past month, now has him tied with the Democratic nominee. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it. On a scale of -9 to +9 with 0 representing Center, respondents on average rated Insider as -2.62, putting it solidly in the Lean Left media bias category. Research by Mary Radcliffe and Dhrumil Mehta. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. An, likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. 6% of those polled say they remain undecided. * Warnock continues to have a large lead among women voters and Walker a substantial lead among men. Key challenges Disclosure: This article is originally published at Insider Monkey. Trump, supposedly, was 10 points BEHIND Hillary in Ohio and tied in Utah? "The race for Governor of Pennsylvania has tightened with Shapiro back under the 50% he enjoyed in our previous survey," Towery explained. MORE: Election Day 2022: Everything you need to know about voting in Pennsylvania. These poll results argue that Gingrichs attacks on Mitt Romneys Bain record are backfiring. These gubernatorial candidates in Florida with DeSantis, Kemp, they're running stronger. an insider researcher is justified, and the challenges faced, when a researcher undertakes an in-depth study of their own WIL program is examined. Now, Im not saying that I know for sure that Insider Advantage polls are purposely biased towards Newt Gingrich, but doesnt it look awfully strange that their founders former boss has been the beneficiary of surveys that are constantly different than the average poll? poll of likely voters released in early-October showed Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Oct. 23 showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. This poll also shows Ernst +6 over Greenfield (51, 45). In general what we're seeing are the Republican candidates in all of these states hanging in there even against incredible attacks like Herschel walker has taken in Georgia, for example. There are a total of 4 polls during the last 7 days and Joe Biden's average margin in these 4 polls is only 0.5 points. However, all versions of these polls are listed here. Statistical model by Nate Silver. A Franklin & Marshall College poll released on Oct. 28 showed Biden carrying a 6 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. A, Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, , in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. Newt Gingrich voters are not more likely than Mitt Romneys to be subject to wild swings by pollsters with different methodologies. In the latest poll, Shapiro came in at 49% to Mastrianos 42%. * Warnock has not received above 46% in any recent InsiderAdvantage poll of the race. 24/7. A Washington Post/ABC News poll released on Sunday showed Biden with a 7 point advantage, 51%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. Overall, we rate Insider Left-Center Biased based on story selection that moderately favors the left. We also rate them High for factual reporting due to proper sourcing and a clean fact-check record. But an Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness poll of Michigan voters conducted October 30-31 found Biden had a 2% lead, much closer to the 2.7% lead in votes counted as of Friday. Press J to jump to the feed. Macrina was found to have taken bribes totaling some $60,000 in exchange for giving out favorable contracts. * Abrams has suddenly become a weight for the Warnock campaign which could have serious ramifications for the November vote. President Donald Trump holds a slight edge over former Vice President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to polling commissioned by this conservative website. Voters, especially in primaries, like to vote for viable candidates. Instead, it stems from their polling in primaries, as is apparent from their Pollster Scorecard: Note that, of the +1.38 rawscore that we give to InsiderAdvantage (positive rawscores are bad), 1. . Before going state by state, let me give one example that will also make you doubt a landslide Biden victory. Support MBFC Donations Comparador de mini prstamos personales en linea microcreditos online y creditos rapidos. A, Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, , a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania. Stories are usually relatively short, with bulleted summaries on top of the article. A Trafalgar Group poll showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. However, all versions of these polls are listed here. ", Biden Hits Trump For Omaha Rally: "He Gets His Photo-Op And He Gets Out". Pollster bias, the idea that a survey houses polls constantly favor one candidate or party vs. another, remains one of the more controversial subjects in the polling industry. An AtlasIntel poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 31 showed Trump with a 1 point lead over Biden, 49.6%-to-48.5%. This poll is for entertainment purposes and does not change our overall rating. Please. , , . And just like Romneys 9% turn around in SC, IA found Romney gaining just four days later to take a 7% New Years Day Iowa lead over Gingrich. Filtered Search, Enter your email address to subscribe to MBFC and receive notifications of new posts by email. * Walker increased his share of the African American vote by 8 points in one week. The race is now a dead heat, according to the poll of 550 likely voters conducted three weeks before Election Day on Nov. 8. This pollster is garbage. A, Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by Climate Power 2020. shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, in the state. Towerys firm has constantly help to shape the Republican primary narrative by frequently polling the early Republican primary contests. Sources with an AllSides Media Bias Rating of Right display media bias in ways that strongly align with conservative, traditional, or right-wing thought and/or policy agendas. Pollster Matt Towery Sr. said the data shows Trump leading Biden by three points among likely voters in the Sunshine State; however, a significant number of those polled remain undecided at 10%. Insider Advantage somewhat shady history also lends credence to my suspicions. The Republicans started rising in almost all of these states about 2 1/2 to three weeks ago. An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness of likely voters in the state shows Trump leading Biden by just over 1 point, 48.7%-to-47.4%, while 1.3% said they would vote for Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgenesen, and 2.6% are undecided. * Warnock has not received above 46% in any recent InsiderAdvantage poll of the race. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. Here are the results of the question "If the election were held today, who would you vote for?": Trump: 46% Biden: 43% Jergensen: 1% Undecided/No Opinion: 10% Click HERE to see the entire poll On a scale of -9 to +9 with 0 representing Center, respondents on average rated Insider as -2.62, putting it solidly in the Lean Left media bias category. Read moreDownload the dataSee the latest polls, How this works: FiveThirtyEights pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy of each polling organizations polls along with its methodology. Trump is going to lose Pennsylvania by 5+. Please keep in mind that these polls are still BIASED. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. Missed in this CNN/ORC drama was the potential bias of another pollster: Insider Advantage (IA). The race for Pennsylvanias U.S. Senate seat is now a dead heat, according to the latest InsiderAdvanatage /FOX29 Poll. When normalized, 67% of respondents rated Insider as left of center and 11% rated Insider as right of center. In review, Insider is a Lifestyle spinoff of Business Insider that focuses more on entertainment, politics, and technology. Let me say one other thing. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. The most likely result if Walker keeps rising is a runoff. . Stories are usually relatively short, with bulleted summaries on top of the article. They have, for example, previously been hesitant in releasing important technical details on how their polls have been conducted even to the newspapers that sponsor their polls. Founded in 2015, Insider is a website associated with Business Insider covering politics, lifestyle, and technology. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. The poll has a margin of error of 4.2%. It is near certain that Biden will win the statewide race and the first district. The only competitive race is in the second district. The Trafalgar Group is an opinion polling and survey company founded by Robert Cahaly and based in Atlanta, Georgia. A, of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. Meanwhile, Josh Shapiros lead in the race for governor has shrunk. Click to continue reading and see the rest of the estimates. Fivethirtyeight thinks Trump will win this district by 0.9 points.