In addition, Zenz also considered a more restricted analysis by using only the 2-month Elul-Tishri Shemitah ending months and the Shemitah wake period in his calculations, just like Cahn focused on in his book. Been looking for this thread. Yedidya Julian Sinclair works in the Israeli clean tech world. We arent suggesting one pile into them with yields near 4% and inflation around 8%, but we think they have suffered a much more substantial de-rating than large-cap stocks. Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. and lie still." You shall then sound a rams horn abroad on the tenth day of the seventh month; on the day of atonement you shall sound a horn all through your land. Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Elul 29 could be interesting. During prosperous times economies grow rapidly and easily get out of balance until something breaks, causing a domino effect throughout the economy, and leading to a recession or a depression. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical. Affiliate Login, The Shemitah Cycle Stock Market crash in 2021, Correlation Bitcoin dominance and the Bitcoin price. Keep up the good work! Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or not.Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any guarantee that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns like those shown in the performance graph in this presentation. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. However, Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that type of data.Past performance is not indicative of future results. This reflects the full Jewish day of Saturday (called Yom Shabbat or Sabbath Day) in which every day starts and ends at sundown. Or as Keynes himself expressed it more pithily, markets can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent.. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. It was easier for Israel to simply overlook this law rather than to risk not having enough food for over a year at a time or risk losing money by having to forgive debt or give back land. There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. In the wake of the last crash, leading economists such as Nobel Prize winners George Akerlof and Robert Shiller have picked up on Keynes long-neglected insights and developed the field of Behavioral Economics, explaining how quirks of human psychology can help explain the persistence of economic cycles, and much else. Thus, according to the Law of Moses, there was a Sabbath every seven days for man to rest and a Sabbath every seven years (Shemitah) for the land to rest. name for ourselves" Genesis 11:4. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. Its going to be a very bumpy year until Sept 24-27 already look at the signs very volitale market, supply chain on last thread, oil prices through the roof ( US cannot sustained price of oil over $100 ) they are predicting $150-175 barell, famine in Africa, major drought in 3/4 of US . Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. This includes graphs of the major stock market indices as well as graphs for commodities, currencies, bonds, and unemployment levels. If we have a look at the stock market in that year, we cant see any crash like we have seen in past Shemitah years, but we are seeing something interesting. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. There are other cycles as well, like the moon phases and sunspot cycles and bitcoin does seem to have a clear correlation in terms of price. 2023 The Times of Israel , All Rights Reserved. Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. Perhaps it was followed early in Israels history, during the time of the Judges and maybe during King Davids reign, but as Israel fell away from God with successive kings, the Shemitah was one of the first rules that fell away and was not fulfilled. This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. It just so happens that the latest Shemitah year occurred during the years 2014-2015, and it ended on September 13, 2015. In this way we gain Thus, there appears to be a Shemitah Effect that manifests itself as negative economic pressure upon the economy of the United States, and since the U.S. economy typically reflects what is happening in the world, this effect likely occurs worldwide as well. Exodus 23:11. Since the Shemitah affected Israel so dramatically and caught up to them even when the Jews didnt follow it for centuries, a valid question might be, Does the Shemitah Effect relate not only to Israel, but does it also have relevance to the entire world? Even though Israel as a nation was specifically given the Law of Moses in the beginning to make them distinct from the nations as Gods people, many of the Old Testament laws have application to all of mankind regardless of whether they are Jew or Gentile. As Israel implodes, does nobody in Netanyahus Likud have the guts to defy him? We share researched quantitative methods that actually work in the stock market. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. According to the statutes of this law, the 50th year would include another year like the Shemitah year of not planting or harvesting of crops; therefore the seventh Shemitah year of rest for the land was followed by another Jubilee year of rest, making two consecutive years of no planting and no harvesting every 49 years. Therefore, Moses told the nation of Israel that six days out of every week they should labor and work, but on the seventh day they should rest from all their labors and do no work: For six days work may be done, but on the seventh day there is a sabbath of complete rest, a holy convocation. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. The historical performance results for indices and index funds, used as proxies for indices, are provided exclusively for comparison purposes. Vi har ftt igjen pengene vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk!Evig takknemlige!!! The cycle of seven Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that future performance will be profitable. In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. The last sabbath year was in 2014-2015 and the last yubilee-year was in 1972-1973. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. This is due to the fact that from the beginning of the planting season the Shemitah has a negative affect on the economy, because all those people and businesses that make a living through agriculture would experience a downturn throughout that year. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Weve gotten our money back, thanks to the complaints help we got!Eternally grateful!!! Keynes, who was also a savvy investor, wrote in his General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (Chapter 12): Enterprise only pretends to itself to be mainly actuated by the statements in its own prospectus, however candid and sincere. Germany, Russia, Austria, Turkey and Great Britain suffer . Vis flere innlegg. In addition, all of Israel would have built-in rest periods designed into their economic system consisting of days and years, which would greatly reduce the stress of life. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. is like a two edged sword. . Stocks crash, the financial system collapses, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover. All of these downturns actually occurred during the Shemitah year or within a few months thereafter (i.e., in its wake). Some market operators who spoke to Nairametrics said the equities market defied election jittery thanks to the anticipated 2022 full . In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). Seven Shemitahs is simply equal to 77 years or a total of 49 years. 3 The length of these cycles is reliably between six and nine years. There is also a reckoning. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical values, then God will wreak vengeance on America, through 9/11, stock market crashes, ISIS and other terrors. The beginning of American to rise to world power. In fact, the Lord promised that the crop of the sixth year would be so bountiful that it would supply them with food for 3 full years: But if you say, What are we going to eat on the seventh year if we do not sow or gather in our crops?. What this meant is that any person or family that sold their property to another Hebrew would get their property back at the end of every 7 Shemitahs. Notice the Shmita was nearly the low. The bond market bubble has popped, and forward-looking Treasury returns are no longer a disaster. He argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time. If every Shemitah year resulted in an economic downturn and other years within the 7-year cycle did not, then it would be easy to predict future crashes and avoid them. It is not surprising, therefore, that there are downturns in the market which occur outside of a Shemitah year. This year is a different story. God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. On this year of jubilee each of you shall return to his own property. hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God. His Hidden Secrets of Money is a great input to your own thought process. Your email address will not be published. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). Here is a chart comparing all of the years: It is hard to understand what to do with this data. Please invest accordingly. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. From Shuls to JCCs, Federations to urban farms, I met a wide range of knowledge levels and often had to begin by explaining the abc of shmita, the biblical seven-year agriculture cycle. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. So, although we are not seeing any crash, we do see weakness in the financial markets. A Shabbat of years A Shmita Year happens every seventh year. Leaving aside Cahans highly dubious theology, (since when did George Washington or the other Founding Fathers have a direct line to the divine?) Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Where the stock market was experiencing a major crash. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. The Shemitah of 2015 produced the worst year for the stock market in seven years, or since 2008 - the last Shemitah! He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. May I have seen this post in December, I could have saved my tons of money, The market crashes every 7 years! Another way of analyzing the Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to look at the 20 largest point drops in the stock market during single day crashes. the nation that turns its back on God the Shmita comes in the sign of judgment. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. Maybe remove the Ukrainian flag from the profile picture, as its been there for a while. A mini-recession built into their economic system every seven years which assured that there would be no financial bubbles or the subsequent severe crashes, which often resulted from them. Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! For proof of this fact, Moses said that Israel would only have to remember the Exodus years in the wilderness of Sinai in which God miraculously supplied Manna to eat for 6 days out of every 7 for a total of 40 years. Now lets have a look at the more recent stock market crashes we have seen. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! This was a Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? For instance, someone who publishes a new insight related to the Bible or a new way of interpreting prophecy related to the End Times often generates a lot of excitement and attention, and they may even sell millions of books; however, attention and book sales dont necessarily mean that the conclusions are accurate. This happened to be a Shemitah year. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. Unfortunately, some conclusions based upon Biblical cherry-picking often result in ideas that become so popular that overcoming them with real data is difficult. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. If the rise of a The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. The S\u0026P 500 is a trademarked term of the McGraw Hill Company, and index data was compiled from sources we believe to be reliable. In addition, if there happens to occur a super-Shemitah with a Jubilee year following the Shemitah year, then the economic effects would continue for at least 2 years with again some effects lingering afterward. This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. One world order? Copyright 2023 The Blockchain Today So I was surprised to see, sitting right there on the Hudson best-seller shelves, a volume with the word Shmita screaming off the cover in raised gold letters. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in It may be too late to soften the impact of the next crash, but lets have smarter economic minds start thinking now whether we can use this insight to make our economies more sustainable and resilient for the future. The 1994 bond market massacre is remembered with horror by those who lived through it. It seems very difficult though. More importantly, its a midterm election year, traditionally the weakest of the four-year cycle. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first A Shmita reminds a nation that it's Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Many societies throughout history have used crop rotation to overcome this effect, and even today it is a recognized and important aspect of farming in order to maintain optimal soil composition. For instance, in the following figure, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretching from the year 1900 to the autumn of 2015 is mapped with the Shemitah years highlighted as transparent yellow bars on top of the curve. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. 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